The Contrarian

“In the investment markets, what everyone knows is usually not worth knowing.”

Turkey And Germany: Using Refugees As A Bargaining Tool

The battle for Aleppo in Syria is heating up again. Recently 35,000 Syrian refugees gathered in a camp on the Turkey border. Central EU countries are blaming Turkey for the flood of refugees and say Turkey should close its borders. That gives Turkey some leverage in bargaining with the EU.

For example, it has wanted to be part of the EU for decades but has been rejected. When Turkey’s Prime minister Davutoglu visited, he only wanted to talk about wiping out the Kurds in Syria.

The Kurds have been wanting to have their own nation for decades. They are not terrorists. But Turkey’s government is allied with the Muslim Brotherhood, which is an ally of the Hezbollah, which is listed as a terrorist organization by the US.

Germany’s Chancellor Merkel originally said she wanted to let one million Syrian so-called refugees into Germany. Now that Germany has found out that the refugees are engaging in criminal conduct, rapes, and vandalism, there is a big backlash. Merkel is reconsidering the refugees question and wants to limit it to a lower number. Otherwise, she might be out of a job.

Turkey can slow or stop the flood. But it has conditions. It can bargain for financial support and even reconsideration of entering the European Union. Will Merkel blink first?